Stock
market indices
Investors generally talk about stock market indices, such
as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), and the Kuala
Lumpur Stock Exchange Composite Index (KLCI). Questions such
as “what happened to the stock market today?”
or “what did the Index close at today?” often
surface in every day discussions. But, what is the true significance
of such indices to the investing process?
What
do indices represent?
If an investor owns more than a few stocks, it would be difficult
for him to monitor each stock individually to determine the
overall performance of his stock portfolio at any one point
in time. One way of keeping track of the portfolio performance
is by tracking the performance of a widely published, and
publicly available “market” portfolio that is
composed of many different stocks – known as an
Index. This portfolio is representative of the overall
stock market and should provide the investor with a “feel”
of how his own stocks are doing. It is intuitive that if the
overall market is doing well, then the individual stocks held
by the investor should also be doing well, and vice-versa.
Apart
from this function, indices also have various other uses;
some of which are:
-
To compute the total return for the aggregate stock market
over a period of time, which can be used as a benchmark
to compare the portfolio performance of funds, managed by
professional managers.
-
Indices are often utilised for the development of an index
portfolio – some investors are contented to receive
rates of return equivalent to the market returns and this
has led to the creation of index funds, which basically
emulate the market index portfolio.
-
Analysts and portfolio managers often use indices for the
computation of systematic risk by using the capital asset
pricing model (CAPM). In this case, the rate of return of
the market is required and the rate of return on the market
index is usually used as the proxy.
-
For technical analysis – past changes in the index
can be used to predict the future price movements of the
overall stock market using technical indicators.
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