High
Stakes Investing
 |
Investors
who trade in futures and options are dealing in a different
world of investing, removed from stocks, bonds or unit
trusts. It is a specialised market where the pace is much
faster and the risk, higher. While with stocks, an investor
can still afford to sit back and see which direction his
shares are heading, in futures he has to stay on top of
price all the time for he can lose a fortune or make a
fortune in minutes. |
Futures
and options are not for the amateur investor; even those who
are extremely knowledgeable and who trade all the time have
been burnt.
It
is important to understand fully the risks and financial liabilities
involved in trading futures and options before you even begin
to consider venturing into these investments. The complexity
of these instruments cannot be fully explained here, so a
simplified explanation of what they are is offered here.
Futures
and options are basic derivative instruments whose values
are dependent on the value of an underlying asset such as
common stocks, bonds, indices, currencies or commodities e.g.
crude palm oil, rubber, cocoa and tin. They are often used
for risk management or hedging by investors to safeguard their
investments in anticipation of future market directions. Speculators
also trade in the market, trying to achieve a profit by buying
futures at a low price and selling at a high price. Speculators
are important participants who give liquidity to the market
and opportunities for continuous trading.
Forward
Contract
When
an agreement to buy or sell an asset at an agreed price and
specified date is privately made between two parties, it is
termed as a forward contract. For example, a crude palm oil
refiner requires 1,000 tonnes of crude palm oil in six months
time. He finds a palm oil producer who agrees to sell him
the 1,000 tonnes at a specified date and price, six months
down the road. Such an agreement between the two parties is
a forward contract.
Forward
contracts are therefore not standardised, meaning that as
long as the price and date set is agreeable between the two
parties, they can create their own forward contract on any
commodity. Such a form of privately arranged trading is done
over-the-counter (OTC) as opposed to buying and selling futures
contracts at the exchanges.
Futures
Contract
Futures
contracts are like forward contracts in that they represent
an agreement between a buyer and a seller to exchange a specified
amount of cash for an asset at a future date. But unlike forward
contracts, futures contracts are traded on an exchange (the
Malaysia Derivatives Exchange) and the agreements are standardised
with contract specifications stating exactly the amount and
quality of goods to be bought or sold at a fixed price at
a fixed future date. The contracts are not privately arranged
but made known publicly so that anyone can participate in
the trading.
Each
futures contract has an expiry date, which is the last day
of trading in the particular contract month. On that day,
any futures position that is open (i.e. has not been closed
out - meaning offset - by an opposite transaction) will be
called upon for physical delivery or cash settlement. After
the expiry date, the futures contract ceases to exist.
Hence
when you buy a futures contract, it requires you to take delivery
of the goods - or to make delivery if you sell the contract
- unless your position is closed. However most of the time,
the delivery exchange doesn't take place and positions are
closed out or resold before the expiry date. This is because
the main purpose of futures trading is not to buy or sell
the physical goods or financial instruments but to manage
the risk of price changes for hedgers; and for speculators,
to profit from the changes.
As
the market price of the futures goods fluctuates during the
contract period, a difference arises between the contract
price and the market price and so the futures contract shows
a gain or loss in value. Most traders, both the hedgers and
speculators, will close out their contracts by taking an opposite
position, when they feel the contract value has risen or fallen
in their favour. If a trader has bought a futures contract,
he will sell it to close out when the price has gone up. On
the other hand, if a trader has sold a futures contract, he
will buy it back to close out when the price goes down. The
futures market acts as a risk-shifting mechanism, enabling
those exposed to these risks to shift them to someone else.
The
allure of futures trading is that you don't need a lot of
money to start. You are obligated to put up a percentage of
the contract value i.e. you trade on margin. If the price
swings in your favour, you stand to gain the amount of profit
that is calculated from the entire contract value. Of course,
if the price swings the other way, your loss is also calculated
from the whole contract value. Thus, because futures allows
you to control a larger amount of a product without paying
a lot of money upfront, it is high stakes investing. For a
small sum, you could win - or lose - a fortune within minutes.
Options
Options
give the buyer/holder of the option the right, but not the
obligation, to buy or sell a specified asset at a specified
price (strike price), at or before a specified date from the
seller, for which the buyer pays a premium. (This limits the
buyer's potential loss in the options market to the amount
of his premium.) Options that give the buyer the right to
buy are known as calls. Options that give the buyer the right
to sell are known as puts. The seller of the option has a
contingent liability or an obligation, which is activated
if the buyer exercises his right.
To understand how options work, we create examples which are
not to be construed as investment advice to trade in options,
but are for illustration purposes only.
First,
call options. Let's assume that you buy a call option
for RM2 premium a share with a strike price of RM30 a share
for 1,000 shares of XXX Company. Your option therefore costs
you RM2,000 (RM2 x 1,000 shares). This means you have bought
the right to buy 1,000 XXX shares for RM30 a share until the
expiry date.
Now,
because you own a call option, you want the XXX share price
to go higher than RM30 so that you will make a profit. Let's
assume that it does go higher, to RM40. Your option price
could then soar from RM2 to RM10. When this happens, your
option is in-the-money, because the share price of RM40 is
higher than your strike price of RM30.
There
are two ways to realise your gain. One, you can exercise your
option, that is, you cash in your right to buy 1,000 XXX shares
from the seller of your option and pay RM30,000. Then you
sell the 1,000 shares at the market price of RM40 and realise
your profit which is RM40,000 minus RM30,000 less your premium
of RM2,000 equals RM8,000.
Or
two, you don't exercise your option but instead sell your
right to buy 1,000 XXX shares. You can sell your option for
RM10 a share and receive RM10,000. Your profit will equal
RM10,000 minus your premium RM2,000 equals RM8,000.
Either way, the end result is the same (a profit of RM8,000),
but selling your option is less cumbersome. It is up to you
which way to go, although most of the time, investors don't
exercise their options to buy the security.
If
the XXX share price does not rise above your strike price
(of RM30), then your option will be considered out-of-money
and when the expiry date arrives, your option expires worthless
and you lose all your investment money, which is your premium
of RM2,000.
Put
Options. Investors buy put options to protect their investment
portfolios from downside risk, or to profit from expectations
that the market of the underlying security will tumble.
For
example, let's say you had bought 1,000 shares of YYY Company
at RM10 a share some time ago. The price is now riding at
RM15 but you anticipate that the share price will drop sharply
over the next few months. However you don't want to sell your
stock because you think the drop will be short-term, but you
need to protect your investment against the decline. Well,
you could resort to buying options.
Let's
say the price of YYY starts to slip to RM12. You buy a put
option for 1,000 YYY stock with a strike price of RM10. If
the YYY share price keeps falling before the expiry date of
your option, you could exercise your right to sell your YYY
shares at RM10 a share, no matter what the market price falls
to. Or you could hold your YYY shares and close your position
by selling your put option. As long as the YYY share price
drops to below RM10, you would make a profit because your
put option is in-the-money. Remember your strike price is
RM10. But if the share price rises, your put option would
be out-of-money and your option will expire worthless with
you losing the premium you paid for buying the put option.
Options
can either be American style or European style. American style
options can be exercised by the buyer at any time from the
date of purchase up until (and including) the expiry date.
European style options can be exercised by the buyer only
on the specified expiry date.
On
1 December 2001, the Kuala Lumpur Options and Financial Futures
(KLOFFE) launched the country's first options, the stock index
options on the KLSE Composite, which is traded European style.
Last
year, KLOFFE merged with COMMEX (Commodity & Monetary
Exchange of Malaysia) to form MDEX (Malaysia Derivatives Exchange).
MDEX currently offers trading in four derivatives: the KLSE
Composite Index futures contract, crude palm oil futures contract,
the KLIBOR futures contract and the KLSE Composite options
contract. |